https://www.tradewinds-ai.com/blog daily 0.75 2025-04-10 https://www.tradewinds-ai.com/blog/results-vs-reality monthly 0.5 2025-03-17 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/cc90aaa6-27fd-4650-9cd8-b2b72fe29c00/Screenshot+2025-03-14+at+11.43.28%E2%80%AFAM.png Blog - Rubber Meeting the Road - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/8f07a7db-7e22-45dd-97bc-0037b0394f4a/Screenshot+2025-03-14+at+11.31.53%E2%80%AFAM.png Blog - Rubber Meeting the Road - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/dff6f9fe-23a8-4b9c-9473-82d789c3ffb6/Training+_+Testing+Split+%282%29.png Blog - Rubber Meeting the Road - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/77adf05c-c2dd-4c06-803a-fe0286a046ac/Negative+and+Positive.jpg Blog - Rubber Meeting the Road - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/1741879634232-4P130WE7H3RX9SZ9VZJD/TestingResultsToFiscalReality.png Blog - Rubber Meeting the Road - Testing Results vs. Fiscal Reality A very good friend pointed out that while testing results are great, until you have actual results well, you really don’t have anything. And be clear about what you are posting so there isn’t ambiguity between predictions on historical matches and it’s performance on future ones. Pretty crucial and important points. With that in mind, I wanted to spend the bulk of this post focusing on the historical side, as that is what drives the training and evaluation process. I will then end the post with the initial set of predictions made from the selected models for each league. All of the results reported in this post are based on the historical match dataset and represent in no way any profits I have made. Hopefully that will be handled in future posts, lol. And again, this is sports folks. You may have the best model in the world but it cannot fully account for the humans in the equation. And thank goodness for that! https://www.tradewinds-ai.com/blog/wager-or-investment monthly 0.5 2025-03-16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/e9cf220b-65fe-4021-bc11-5dc89ba4bbef/wager_or_investment2.png Blog - Wager or Investment? - Is this anything more than a wager? At the end of day, not really. This is simply a monetary guess based on some level of historical data presented in a fashion to drive a decision one way or another. Wait… that kind of sounds like an investment strategy… Well, in my summation it is an investment strategy. Not a fixed return 5% CD, but also not a penny-stock or shot in the dark on the next digital coin or blockchain company. It is a strategy based on machine learning models understanding the statistical cross-section for matches in a given league; run through thousands of simulations siphoning features to a point that allows for statistically accurate prediction on matches ending in a draw (and soon expanding to other outcomes). Have to add the disclaimer though, current results may not reflect historical outcomes or activity, lol. Seriously though, outcomes are dependent on sporting activity which by it’s very nature and definition is chaotic and difficult to gauge. The good thing here is that the strategy is based more on the longer term viewpoint than a micro-single-match one. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/8ae37315-1cdb-44b3-bd5a-0a256cf87f67/web-client1.png Blog - Wager or Investment? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/3a425cfe-e350-47f7-9abe-91f684f1d9c4/Screenshot+2025-03-10+at+7.09.09%E2%80%AFPM.png Blog - Wager or Investment? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/3b01bbc8-163b-4c90-8bd8-7d3db5b9aab7/Screenshot+2025-03-10+at+10.52.38%E2%80%AFPM.png Blog - Wager or Investment? - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.tradewinds-ai.com/blog/bridges monthly 0.5 2025-03-16 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/67c5d1bfc23638667ac731e0/1741616609573-GA91JWVL2VD7FUGF0QY7/bridges3.png Blog - Building Bridges - Bridges and Departure Points Building Bridges…. Seemed like an apt beginning to the Blog and Tradewinds AI in general. With any bridge there is a departure point and a destination and it’s a great metaphor for my last 3 months professionally. Early in December my company (startup in the gaming sector) finally shuttered their doors and sent me packing. After the initial shock and a couple weeks of reflection it was probably the best thing that could have happened in my life. I lived an entirely unhealthy one, completely dominated by work (literally on-call 24x7x365) and one in which I unknowingly alienated a good number of folks in my life. That aside for now, I was presented in a blindingly abrupt fashion a “Departure Point”, one that required a destination, but where to go, what is that exact destination? Over the last several years I had dabbled a little bit with machine learning and was intrigued by the capability and the science and engineering behind it. 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